Navigating Regional Disparities in COVID-19 Concern Levels: Insights for Public Health Policy

Abstract

The article article demonstrates the diverse levels of apprehension regarding the virus and its behavioural impact across various regions, with a specific focus on comparing the United States and Western Europe. Findings illuminate substantial regional disparities in concern levels, notably revealing a consistent trend of heightened apprehension for family members compared to oneself. The study emphasises the imperative for tailored public health strategies capable of addressing these nuanced regional perceptions and fostering trust amidst diverse communities.

Introduction

In early 2020, the rapid escalation of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) into a global pandemic spurred unprecedented public health responses worldwide. Beyond its immediate health implications, the pandemic profoundly impacted economic, social, and psychological aspects of life globally. Within this context, comprehending public perceptions, concerns, and trust in government responses became paramount for policymakers and public health officials.

To capture these sentiments, a survey spanning multiple countries was meticulously designed and implemented. Its primary objective was to gauge the level of concern among the global population regarding the risk of contracting COVID-19, as well as concerns for the well-being of family members. Additionally, the survey sought to assess public trust in government actions and communication during the crisis, probing how these perceptions influenced individuals’ attitudes and behaviours in response to the pandemic.

Conducted in late March 2020, amidst the initial wave of the pandemic and its accompanying uncertainties, the survey aimed to capture a snapshot of public sentiment during these early stages. This period marked a critical juncture in the global response to COVID-19, with governments worldwide implementing various measures to curb the virus’s spread.

The timing of the survey was pivotal, offering insights into public perceptions and attitudes at a moment when public health strategies and government interventions were rapidly evolving. Through its timely execution, the survey yielded valuable data on the psychological and emotional responses of individuals facing the immediate impacts of the pandemic. These insights contribute to a nuanced understanding of the global community’s adaptability and resilience in the face of adversity.

The survey’s findings serve to inform public health strategies and communication efforts, pinpointing areas where trust could be fortified and concerns more effectively addressed. As the world continues to grapple with the challenges posed by COVID-19, recognizing and comprehending the public’s perspective remains a crucial component in the global response to the pandemic.

Literature Review

Public Perception in Health Crises: Public perception during health crises is a critical factor influencing the effectiveness of response strategies. Existing literature suggests that public behavior and compliance with health directives are predominantly driven by the population’s trust in authorities and their comprehension of associated risks (Siegrist & Zingg, 2014). The Health Belief Model (Rosenstock, 1974) posits that engagement in health-promoting behaviors is contingent upon individual beliefs about health concerns, perceived benefits, and barriers to action.

Trust in Government Responses: Trust in government responses to pandemics plays a pivotal role in public adherence to health advisories (Larson et al., 2009). Studies on the H1N1 pandemic response revealed that trust in health information disseminated by government bodies correlated with greater willingness to adopt preventive behaviors (Rubin et al., 2009). Conversely, mistrust can breed skepticism and resistance to public health measures, as evidenced during the Ebola outbreak (Calnan & Rowe, 2006).

Lessons from Previous Pandemics: Historical pandemics underscore the importance of timely and transparent communication in building public trust. During the SARS outbreak, initial lack of immediate, transparent communication from health authorities led to public panic and confusion (Person et al., 2004). Effective communication strategies that emerged later were instrumental in managing public fear and fostering cooperative behavior (Deurenberg-Yap et al., 2005).

COVID-19 Pandemic: The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has presented unprecedented challenges. Early research on COVID-19 has highlighted similar themes, with public perception being influenced by trust in government actions, communication clarity, and perceived threat severity (Bavel et al., 2020). Studies have commenced exploring how varying levels of trust across different countries affect the public’s adherence to COVID-19 guidelines and their uptake of preventive measures (Plohl & Musil, 2021).

The literature consistently emphasizes the symbiotic relationship between public perception, trust in government, and the success of public health interventions during pandemics. As the world navigates the recovery from the COVID-19 crisis, continual assessment and understanding of these dynamics are imperative to inform ongoing and future public health strategies.

Data & Methodology:

The study’s analysis reveals a consistent trend: concern for family and loved ones significantly outweighs personal concern across all regions. Notably, regions in the USA exhibit the highest levels of self-concern, with six out of seven regions surpassing the global average (refer to Chart 1).

For countries and states within each region please refer to Appendix 1. For a complete summary statistic table: mean, median, mode, standard deviation and counts for each region for both self and family concern please refer to Appendix 2.

These findings were statistically supported by ANOVA tests, indicating significant differences across regions for both personal concern (F-Statistic = 3.52, p-value ≈ 0) and family concern (F-Statistic = 2.3, p-value = 0.0133). This underscores the acute awareness and concern among US respondents, particularly in the South Atlantic, compared to those in Western Europe, emphasizing the critical need for nuanced public health strategies and interventions tailored to these regional sentiments.

Follow-up Tukey HSD tests further identified specific regions with significant differences, highlighting notably higher concern levels in the USA regions. This nuanced understanding of regional disparities in concern levels can inform targeted public health messaging and interventions.

Key findings from the Tukey HSD tests include:

  • Northern Europe has a lower level of concern for self than:
    • USA – South Atlantic
  • Western Europe has a lower level of concern for self than:
    • Southern Europe
    • USA – Pacific
    • USA – Mid Atlantic
    • USA – South Atlantic

In terms of concern for family/loved ones, the significance across regions was less pronounced. Significant differences for family/loved ones concern from the Tukey HSD tests include:

  • Western Europe has a lower level of concern for family members becoming infected than:
    • USA – Pacific
    • USA – South Atlantic

Conclusion

The study unveils significant regional differences in COVID-19 concern levels, with a pronounced higher concern in US regions compared to Western Europe. Notably, the concern for family and loved ones universally surpasses personal concern, highlighting the need for public health strategies that consider regional sentiment nuances. These findings enrich our understanding of public perceptions during the pandemic, suggesting future research should delve into the drivers of these regional disparities and their impact on public health initiatives and communication strategies.

In this issue, additional articles cover:

  • Variations in risk perception across different age groups and employment sectors.
  • The relationship between trust in government and levels of concern among the public.
  • The influence of media perspectives on public concern regarding the pandemic.
  • The effects of COVID-19 on government policy and action.
  • An evaluation of global powers’ efforts to combat the pandemic and its potential impact on international relations.

References

Bavel, J. J. V., Baicker, K., Boggio, P. S., Capraro, V., Cichocka, A., Cikara, M., … & Druckman, J. N. (2020). Using social and behavioural science to support COVID-19 pandemic response. Nature Human Behaviour, 4(5), 460-471.

Calnan, M., & Rowe, R. (2006). Trust matters in health care. Open University Press.

Carpenter, C. J. (2010). A meta-analysis of the effectiveness of health belief model variables in predicting behavior. Health Communication, 25(8), 661-669.

Deurenberg-Yap, M., Foo, L. L., Low, Y. Y., Chan, S. P., Vijaya, K., & Lee, M. (2005). The Singaporean response to the SARS outbreak: Knowledge sufficiency versus public trust. Health Promotion International, 20(4), 320-326.

Field, A. (2013). Discovering Statistics Using IBM SPSS Statistics. Sage.

Janz, N. K., & Becker, M. H. (1984). The Health Belief Model: A decade later. Health Education Quarterly, 11(1), 1-47.

Larson, H. J., Cooper, L. Z., Eskola, J., Katz, S. L., & Ratzan, S. (2009). Addressing the vaccine confidence gap. The Lancet, 374(9690), 526-535.

Person, B., Sy, F., Holton, K., Govert, B., Liang, A., & National Center for Influenza Preparedness, Team S. (2004). Fear and stigma: the epidemic within the SARS outbreak. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 10(2), 358.

Plohl, N., & Musil, B. (2021). Modeling compliance with COVID-19 prevention guidelines: The critical role of trust in science. Psychology, Health & Medicine, 26(1), 1-12.

Rosenstock, I. M. (1974). Historical origins of the health belief model. Health Education Monographs, 2(4), 328-335.

Rosenstock, I. M. (1974). The Health Belief Model and preventive health behavior. Health Education Monographs, 2(4), 354-386.

Rosenstock, I. M., Strecher, V. J., & Becker, M. H. (1988). Social learning theory and the Health Belief Model. Health Education Quarterly, 15(2), 175-183.

Rubin, G. J., Amlôt, R., Page, L., & Wessely, S. (2009). Public perceptions, anxiety, and behavior change in relation to the swine flu outbreak: cross-sectional telephone survey. BMJ, 339.

Appendix 1

Countries included in each region:

Northern EuropeWestern EuropeSouthern EuropeEastern EuropeOceaniaAsia
DenmarkAustriaAlbaniaAzerbaijanAustraliaBangladesh
EstoniaBelgiumCroatiaBelarusNew ZealandChina
FinlandFranceGreeceBulgaria Hong Kong
IcelandGermanyItalyCyprus India
IrelandLuxembourgSpainCzechia Israel
LatviaNetherlands Hungary Japan
LithuaniaSwitzerland Moldova Jordan
Norway  Poland Pakistan
Sweden  Romania Philippines
United Kingdom  Russia Republic of Korea
   Serbia Singapore
   Slovakia Taiwan
   Slovenia Thailand
   Turkey United Arab Emirates
     Vietnam
Source: The Data Corner

US Regions/States:

USA – PacificUSA – MountainUSA – MidwestUSA – South CentralUSA – Mid AtlanticUSA – North AtlanticUSA – South Atlantic
CaliforniaColoradoOhioKentuckyPennsylvaniaNew YorkFlorida
WashingtonArizonaIllinoisTexasVirginiaMassachusettsGeorgia
OregonNevadaMichiganTennesseeMarylandNew JerseyNorth Carolina
AlaskaIdahoWisconsinAlabamaDistrict of ColumbiaConnecticutSouth Carolina
HawaiiUtahMinnesotaArkansasWest VirginiaMaine 
 New MexicoMissouriMississippi Massachusetts 
 MontanaIndiana  New Hampshire 
 North DakotaNebraska  Vermont 
 WyomingIowa    
  Kansas    
Source: The Data Corner

Appendix 2

Summary Statistics Table

ConcernRegionMeanMedianModeStandard DeviationCount
Rate your level of concern that any of your family members/ loved ones may become infected with the novel coronavirus (COVID-19)?Northern Europe7.4658102.3225399
Western Europe6.740772.47302677
Southern Europe7.6038102.504926121
Eastern Europe6.938892.83909932
Oceania7.152882.17017646
Asia7.37588.00a2.41967732
Canada7.2508102.49443864
Otherworld Regions7.241882.51528958
USA – Pacific8.0978101.927686103
USA – Mountain7.589882.07825856
USA – Midwest7.310892.465109116
USA – South Central7.1927.572.35243878
USA – Mid Atlantic7.7348102.11751764
USA – North Atlantic7.730882.34318763
USA – South Atlantic8.1889102.05383964
Total7.4778102.3515021073
Rate your level of concern that you may become infected with the novel coronavirus (COVID-19)?Northern Europe5.121572.62356999
Western Europe4.675432.38659477
Southern Europe5.983672.623558121
Eastern Europe5.46963.00a2.57762632
Oceania5.000562.18072446
Asia5.469662.99445132
Canada5.23452.00a2.90998464
Otherworld Regions5.44866.00a2.7477158
USA – Pacific6.107652.562599103
USA – Mountain5.911682.46633256
USA – Midwest5.672672.441581116
USA – South Central4.83353.00a2.5092978
USA – Mid Atlantic6.18865.00a2.32225364
USA – North Atlantic5.952682.4391263
USA – South Atlantic6.688772.32907864
Total5.607672.5804291073
a. Multiple modes exist. The smallest value is shown
Source: The Data Corner
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